Dynamic strategies to optimize asset allocation: empirical evidence in the Brazilian market
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Abstract
Short-term return bear influence on common investors and fund managers. However, the correct forecast of short-term market movements is not a trivial task. The purpose of this essay is to verify, according to Herold et al. (2007), if the dynamic allocation amongst main Brazilian asset classes can generate long-term gains and limit losses in shorter periods. The test results involving Ibovespa as the only risk asset confirmed this purpose. Tests involving fixed-income assets, variable-income assets and inflation-linked assets proved that the return is limited by this strategy. Static allocation and protection strategies were concurrently tested for short-term situations.
Keyword : Total Return, dynamic allocation, asset class, risk management Retorno total, alocação dinâmica, classe de ativos, gestão de risco